What Happened in 2026 So Far
Gold has had an insane time this decade.
Six years ago, in January 2020, gold’s price was $1,500/ounce.
During the Covid-19 March Panic, the price was fell to $1,418 on March 18th, only to surge to a record high of $2,075/oz in August 2020, breaching the seemingly impossible $2,000/ounce benchmark, which many thought would never be done.
In August 2020, just as gold hits this incredible new milestone, interest rates bottom. When I say that they bottom, I mean that they have gone near those levels again and who knows if they ever will.
On August 4th 2020, lenders were willing to receive 0.52% from the Treasury, for funds lent for 10 years!
Today, lenders are asking for 4.74%, as I write this.
The difference is huge, because if a lender gave the Treasury department $1,000,000 in August 2020, he signed a loan that provided him with $5,200/year in interest income.
Today, if I lend the government $110,000, I would receive that same amount, so whoever held his bond from August 2020 to present, has lost 89% in less than SEVEN YEARS!
While interest rates have soared since August 2020, the price of gold had not collapsed whatsoever.
After hitting $2,075 in August 2020, here are the important milestones ever since:
- Major Historical Highs
- August 2020 (Pandemic Peak): $2,075/oz.
- March 2022 (Ukraine Invasion): $2,070/oz.
- March 2023 (Banking Crisis): ~$2,000/oz.
- September 2024 (The Breakout): $2,685/oz. Fueled by aggressive Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and surging Chinese retail demand.
- December 2025 (The Surge): $4,549/oz.
- January 28, 2026 (All-Time Record): $5,589.38/oz. A dramatic blow-off top marked gold’s absolute historic peak, breaking inflation-adjusted records.
- Major Troughs & Corrections
- October 2022 (The 2020s Cyclical Floor): ~$1,627/oz. Aggressive interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve pushed real yields higher, dragging gold down 22% from its pandemic highs.
- Mid-2023 (Consolidation Zone): ~$1,900 – $2,000/oz.
- January 30, 2026 (The Crash): ~$5,040/oz. Immediately after hitting its all-time high, gold suffered a brutal 9.8% one-day drop—its worst single-day loss since 2013.
- Current Correction (Mid-2026): ~$4,040/oz. Prices have pulled back roughly 20% to 27% from the January peak, stabilizing as long-term bond yields hover around 4.74%.
Why has gold prices gone from $5,589 to below $4,000 in 2026?
The true answer is because the United States of America is coming back.
In a crucial Midterms year, with the fate of the nation on the balance, President Trump chose to do what’s RIGHT for the country and for the world, not what might lure voters to get Republicans elected.
This REDUCED the risk of WW3 drastically, because America’s resolve and deterrence is back, after Obama’s and Biden’s disgraced years and Bush’s imperialism, as well as Clinton’s euphoric naivety.
Investors have now recalibrated the risk of America’s decline, but they now face reality about it as well. Doing the right thing and stopping WW3 isn’t popular. The war has not been able to unite the country, nor to rally the isolationists that don’t understand why a nuclear bomb in the hands of apocalyptic theocrats could wipe billions of people from the face of the Earth, themselves included.
I believe investors will now begin to buy gold again, knowing that this is not the 1980’s and 1990’s, all over again and that the dollar cannot continue to lead the world as its sole reserve currency.
Gold is going to $10,000 and above in the years ahead and it is clear as day.
Best Regards,
Lior Gantz
President, WealthResearchGroup.com
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